Photo: Alex Slitz / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Cleveland Cavaliers and the Miami Heat square off to tip off the opening round of the NBA Playoffs. The Cavaliers are heavy, 12.5-point favorites in the matchup, which will be broadcast on at 7 p.m. ET.
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Cavaliers vs. Heat Predictions for Sunday
Our computer projections model for this encounter calls for a final tally of Cavaliers 120, Heat 107.
- Moneyline Pick: Cavaliers (-800)
- Total Pick: Over 215.5 (computer predicts 227.5 points)
- Pick ATS: Cavaliers (-12.5)
Recent Cavaliers vs. Heat Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/5/2025 | Cavaliers | -13.5 | 220 | -893 | +592 | 112-107 CLE |
| 1/29/2025 | Cavaliers | -6 | 223.5 | -233 | +192 | 126-106 CLE |
| 12/8/2024 | Cavaliers | -2.5 | 223.5 | -139 | +117 | 122-113 MIA |
| 3/24/2024 | Heat | -3.5 | 202.5 | -165 | +138 | 121-84 MIA |
| 3/20/2024 | Cavaliers | -2.5 | 206.5 | -135 | +114 | 107-104 MIA |
| 12/8/2023 | Cavaliers | -1.5 | 223.5 | -122 | +103 | 111-99 CLE |
| 11/22/2023 | Cavaliers | -1.5 | 213 | -120 | -101 | 129-96 MIA |
Cavaliers 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Cleveland has a 48-33-1 record against the spread this season.
- When they have played as at least 12.5-point favorites this season, the Cavaliers are 9-11 against the spread.
- Cleveland has hit the over in 50 of its 82 games with a set total (61%).
- This season, the Cavaliers have won 60 out of the 74 games, or 81.1%, in which they've been favored.
- Cleveland has been at least a -800 moneyline favorite 20 times this season and won all of those games.
Heat 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Miami is 38-41-3 ATS this year.
- The Heat are 1-0-1 against the spread when an underdog by 12.5 points or more this year.
- In Miami's 82 games with a set total, 44 have hit the over (53.7%).
- The Heat have won 10 of the 36 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (27.8%).
- Miami has not yet won a game when entering as a moneyline underdog with odds of +549 or longer in two chances.
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Cavaliers vs. Heat Injury Report
Cavaliers
Cavaliers: None
Heat
Heat:
Dru Smith: Out For Season (Achilles),
Kevin Love: Out (Personal)
Cavaliers vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Sunday, April 20, 2025
- Game time: 7 p.m. ET
- TV channel:
- Location: Cleveland, Ohio
- Arena: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse
- Live stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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